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A cold front coming to central and eastern Mexico later this week and lasting through next week could affect production of all commodities coming from these regions. Depending on the region the cold weather is expected to start as early as Thursday or as late as Saturday and will last through Wednesday, Oct. 31. Minimums temps over this five-day period will get down into the low 40s in some areas. wear

Tomato-growing regions of Torreon, Coahuila and the state of Durango will experience a decent amount of rain today and tomorrow — one-and-a-half inches total. This coupled with the lower temps coming later in the week could lead to quality issues on romas out of Mexico. In these regions production is mostly in shade houses so the crops are susceptible to the rain and cold.  

Georgia and Florida will also see a cooling trend later this week into next week. Georgia will go from maximum temps today through Wednesday in the mid-70s and minimums in the mid-50s to maximums in the mid-60s and minimums in the mid-40s starting Thursday. These lower temps will last through Tuesday, Oct. 30. The coldest night of the front will be Oct. 29 with a minimum temp of 44, which is about 20 below average for this time of year. Florida growing regions will also see a dip in temperatures but not nearly as bad. Plant City will see minimums into the mid-50s while points farther south — such as Immokalee and Belle Glade — will see minimum temps in the low 60s. Although this is not as bad as Georgia these temps are still 10 degrees cooler than what they are currently experiencing.  

There are currently two hurricanes in the Pacific Ocean (Willa and Vincente) that are expected to make landfall on the Pacific Coast of Mexico later this week. Both storms have the potential to bring elevated amounts of rain, but at this time neither one is expected to affect major growing locations. Willa is anticipated to make landfall tomorrow somewhere near the border of the states of Nayarit and Sinaloa. This area is a major mango-growing region, but the harvest is done for this year. There is one region of Nayarit that is producing some limited veg items at this time (Santiago Ixcuintla), which will see rain totals of up to three inches and wind of 30 miles per hour.

Vincente is a Tropical Storm and will also make landfall sometime tomorrow afternoon farther south than Willa off the coast of the states of Colima and Jalisco. The National Weather Service is predicting between three to six inches of rain for the mountain regions of Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero and Jalisco. These regions are famous for Mexican limes, avocados, mangos and some melons.     

For specific locations and commodities that will be affected please reference the Weathermelon app, which offers consolidated lists of global growing regions for each commodity; a 10-day detail forecast for each region; current radar maps (U.S. only); estimated harvest start/end dates for each commodity; monthly average high/low temps for each region; and custom daily alerts for temperature, precipitation and severe weather based on 10-day forecasts.

(David Robidoux is a co-founder Weathermelon)

Market Watch

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Western growing regions getting hit by rain, cooler temps

floral pulse